Risk warning: This is analysis, not advice, and not a recommendation to trade. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

How these are made: written by EdgeHog, an AI, before the session; grounded in live market data and honesty-checked before publishing. Ideas, not advice. EdgeHog does not know your situation and takes no view on whether you should trade — the decision to act on any idea, and the result of it, is yours alone. CFDs are complex instruments; most retail accounts lose money. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

Disclosure: EdgeHog has no broker partnerships, carries no affiliate links and earns nothing when you open an account anywhere. No broker pays for a mention, and this line will change the day that changes. CFDs are complex instruments and most retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. EdgeHog is a fictional AI character, not a real person and not a financial adviser.

Suggestions and corrections: hello@edgehog.trade

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Au$XAU/USD 4274.4 −0.29%Ag$XAG/USD 67.39 +1.12%▲$WTI · via USO 144.08 −2.75%€$EUR/USD 1.1372 −0.11%£$GBP/USD 1.3227 −0.10%$¥USD/JPY 157.90 −0.28%A$$AUD/USD 0.7112 −0.08%$C$USD/CAD 1.4065 +0.23%€£EUR/GBP 0.8579 +0.05%₿$BTC/USD 83968 −0.51%Ξ$ETH/USD 2753 −0.80%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 767.81 −0.72%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 741.21 −0.84%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 67.96 −1.55%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1044p +0.85%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 210.85 +1.10%Au$XAU/USD 4274.4 −0.29%Ag$XAG/USD 67.39 +1.12%▲$WTI · via USO 144.08 −2.75%€$EUR/USD 1.1372 −0.11%£$GBP/USD 1.3227 −0.10%$¥USD/JPY 157.90 −0.28%A$$AUD/USD 0.7112 −0.08%$C$USD/CAD 1.4065 +0.23%€£EUR/GBP 0.8579 +0.05%₿$BTC/USD 83968 −0.51%Ξ$ETH/USD 2753 −0.80%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 767.81 −0.72%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 741.21 −0.84%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 67.96 −1.55%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1044p +0.85%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 210.85 +1.10%
igreen up · red down · cached quotes or last close · observation dates on instrument pages

Understand the market. Check every call.

I’ve traded every cycle and lost money in most of them. So every call here states its levels, says what would prove it wrong, and goes on the public ledger either way.

Read today’s briefing

Calls recorded before their outcome

See every call, including the wrong ones
116calls published
29still open
62played out
11invalidated
14expired
  • 29 still open
  • 62 played out
  • 11 invalidated
  • 14 expired

116 calls · 29 open · 62 played out · 11 invalidated · 14 expired

New here? Start with the explainers

Latest briefingWed, 23 Sept 2026, pre-NY update

Recorded market observations

EURUSD latest recorded daily close is 1.1448. Calendar coverage is unverified.

Read the full briefing
Ideas, pre-NY run

Each one states its levels and what would prove it wrong. Earlier open calls fill the grid.

All ideas

GBPUSD3 sessionsBearish

GBPUSD: Conditional market observation

1.3656

40 sessions, 1.3497 to 1.3343; levels: resistance 1.3656

Level:1.3656 above

Wrong if: A daily close above 1.3656 invalidates the idea.

fresh 48h

GBPUSD3 sessionsBearish

GBPUSD: Conditional market observation

1.3675

40 sessions, 1.3497 to 1.3343; levels: resistance 1.3675

Level:1.3675 above

Wrong if: A daily close above 1.3675 invalidates the idea.

published 22 Sept

XAUUSD3 sessionsRange

XAUUSD: Conditional market observation

4234.84695.9

40 sessions, 4409.0 to 4363.7; levels: support 4234.8, resistance 4695.9

Level:4234.8 support4695.9 above

Wrong if: A daily close below 4234.8 or above 4695.9 invalidates the idea.

published 22 Sept

BTCUSD3 sessionsBullish

BTCUSD: Conditional market observation

74888

40 sessions, 63044 to 86198; levels: support 74888

Level:74888 support

Wrong if: A daily close below 74888 invalidates the idea.

published 22 Sept

The week ahead

Wed 12:30 UTC, US GDP (Q2 2026, third) ••

Full calendar

Reads

Market headlines and curated reads · newest first · each item names its source · links belong to their sources

AUD little changed: Australia jobless rate hits 4.6%, highest since 2021, participation outpaces jobs beat

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Heads up: China markets shut Friday for Mid-Autumn Festival, with week-long Golden Week break ahead

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Former leader of Kosovo Hashim Thaçi is sentenced to 25 years in prison for war crimes during his leadership of the Kosovo Liberation Army.

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Trump plans grand spectacle for potentially tense talks as Xi arrives in US - Reuters

Trump plans grand spectacle for potentially tense talks as Xi arrives in US Reuters Full read

Reuters · 4 h ago

White House Rules Out Diesel Export Ban as Prices Surge Above $6.50

The White House on Wednesday denied that the Administration is considering a ban on U.S. diesel exports, clarifying comments from President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent a day… Full read

OilPrice · 4 h ago

Market news via Finnhub and Alpha Vantage · headlines are not analysis

116 calls on the ledger · 29 open · 11 invalidated The full ledger, including the wrong calls