Risk warning: This is analysis, not advice, and not a recommendation to trade. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

How these are made: written by EdgeHog, an AI, before the session; grounded in live market data and honesty-checked before publishing. Ideas, not advice. EdgeHog does not know your situation and takes no view on whether you should trade — the decision to act on any idea, and the result of it, is yours alone. CFDs are complex instruments; most retail accounts lose money. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

Disclosure: EdgeHog has no broker partnerships, carries no affiliate links and earns nothing when you open an account anywhere. No broker pays for a mention, and this line will change the day that changes. CFDs are complex instruments and most retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. EdgeHog is a fictional AI character, not a real person and not a financial adviser.

Suggestions and corrections: hello@edgehog.trade

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Au$XAU/USD 4066.0 −0.00%Ag$XAG/USD 51.94 +0.46%▲$WTI · via USO 148.41 +0.13%€$EUR/USD 1.1144 +0.03%£$GBP/USD 1.3354 +0.01%$¥USD/JPY 158.48 −0.00%A$$AUD/USD 0.6862 −0.98%$C$USD/CAD 1.4128 +0.79%€£EUR/GBP 0.8340 −0.05%₿$BTC/USD 75861 −0.01%Ξ$ETH/USD 2237 −0.10%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 735.29 +0.31%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 656.10 +1.40%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 65.03 −1.34%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1039p −1.12%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 212.60 −2.25%Au$XAU/USD 4066.0 −0.00%Ag$XAG/USD 51.94 +0.46%▲$WTI · via USO 148.41 +0.13%€$EUR/USD 1.1144 +0.03%£$GBP/USD 1.3354 +0.01%$¥USD/JPY 158.48 −0.00%A$$AUD/USD 0.6862 −0.98%$C$USD/CAD 1.4128 +0.79%€£EUR/GBP 0.8340 −0.05%₿$BTC/USD 75861 −0.01%Ξ$ETH/USD 2237 −0.10%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 735.29 +0.31%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 656.10 +1.40%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 65.03 −1.34%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1039p −1.12%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 212.60 −2.25%
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LedgerAbout

The ledger

Every prospective call, including the wrong ones. Inspect the fixed conditions, data limitations and dated corrections. Retrospective examples remain separately available.

Calls recorded before their outcome

219calls published
31still open
105played out
20invalidated
63expired
  • 31 still open
  • 105 played out
  • 20 invalidated
  • 63 expired

219 calls · 31 open · 105 played out · 20 invalidated · 63 expired

All 219Open 31Played out 105Invalidated 20Expired 63
PublishedInstrumentCallBiasTimeframeOutcomeAdjudicated
06 Nov 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsRange3 sessionsOpen—
06 Nov 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsRange3 sessionsOpen—
06 Nov 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsRange3 sessionsOpen—
06 Nov 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsOpen—
05 Nov 2026EURGBPEURGBP: Conditional market observationView conditionsRange3 sessionsOpen—
05 Nov 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsRange3 sessionsOpen—
05 Nov 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsRange3 sessionsOpen—
05 Nov 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3503 until 06 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange1 dayPlayed out06 Nov 2026
04 Nov 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired07 Nov 2026
04 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired07 Nov 2026
04 Nov 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1104 and 1.1381 until 05 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange1 dayPlayed out05 Nov 2026
04 Nov 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired07 Nov 2026
04 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 3870.0 and 4225.8 until 07 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out07 Nov 2026
03 Nov 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3477 above 1.3451, 04 Nov 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated05 Nov 2026
03 Nov 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired06 Nov 2026
03 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired06 Nov 2026
02 Nov 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 76141 and 86996 until 05 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out05 Nov 2026
02 Nov 2026USDCADUSDCAD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3940 and 1.4300 until 05 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out05 Nov 2026
02 Nov 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired05 Nov 2026
02 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired05 Nov 2026
01 Nov 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired04 Nov 2026
01 Nov 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3477 above 1.3434, 04 Nov 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated05 Nov 2026
01 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired05 Nov 2026
31 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired03 Nov 2026
31 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1104 and 1.1394 until 05 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out05 Nov 2026
31 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 3870.0 and 4284.6 until 05 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out05 Nov 2026
29 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired03 Nov 2026
29 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 3874.9 below 3975.5, 30 Oct 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated31 Oct 2026
29 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3419 until 30 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange1 dayPlayed out30 Oct 2026
29 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired03 Nov 2026
29 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1111 and 1.1411 until 30 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange1 dayPlayed out30 Oct 2026
27 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired30 Oct 2026
27 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired30 Oct 2026
26 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3419 until 29 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out29 Oct 2026
26 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 79107 and 87249 until 29 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out29 Oct 2026
26 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 79107 and 81802 until 29 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out29 Oct 2026
26 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired29 Oct 2026
26 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 3975.5 and 4383.2 until 29 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out29 Oct 2026
22 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3409 until 27 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out27 Oct 2026
21 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired24 Oct 2026
21 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired24 Oct 2026
21 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3498 until 24 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out24 Oct 2026
21 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 4023.4 below 4066.3, 22 Oct 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated23 Oct 2026
20 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3501 until 23 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out23 Oct 2026
20 Oct 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired23 Oct 2026
20 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3501 until 22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange2 sessionsPlayed out22 Oct 2026
19 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 79676 and 87447 until 22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out22 Oct 2026
19 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Oct 2026
19 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3528 until 22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out22 Oct 2026
18 Oct 2026AUDUSDAUDUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Oct 2026
18 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 76205 and 87447 until 21 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out21 Oct 2026
18 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Oct 2026
17 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 75922 and 87447 until 20 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out20 Oct 2026
17 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 55.39 and 67.53 until 22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out22 Oct 2026
17 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired20 Oct 2026
17 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1111 and 1.1597 until 22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out22 Oct 2026
17 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 4066.3 and 4399.3 until 22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out22 Oct 2026
15 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3135 and 1.3560 until 20 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out20 Oct 2026
15 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 4066.3 and 4434.1 until 20 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out20 Oct 2026
14 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3175 and 1.3568 until 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange1 dayPlayed out15 Oct 2026
14 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired17 Oct 2026
13 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired16 Oct 2026
13 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired16 Oct 2026
12 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1160 and 1.1654 until 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out15 Oct 2026
11 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired14 Oct 2026
10 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired15 Oct 2026
10 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3175 and 1.3568 until 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out15 Oct 2026
10 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired15 Oct 2026
09 Oct 2026AUDUSDAUDUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired14 Oct 2026
09 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 4066.3 and 4442.7 until 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out14 Oct 2026
08 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired11 Oct 2026
08 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3175 and 1.3266 until 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out13 Oct 2026
07 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired10 Oct 2026
07 Oct 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 152.88 and 159.03 until 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out10 Oct 2026
05 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 74888 and 87447 until 08 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out08 Oct 2026
05 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
05 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
04 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
04 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
03 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired06 Oct 2026
03 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
03 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3175 and 1.3472 until 08 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out08 Oct 2026
03 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 59.69 and 68.32 until 08 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out08 Oct 2026
02 Oct 2026AUDUSDAUDUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired07 Oct 2026
02 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired07 Oct 2026
02 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3175 and 1.3568 until 07 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out07 Oct 2026
02 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired07 Oct 2026
01 Oct 2026USDCADUSDCAD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired06 Oct 2026
01 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired06 Oct 2026
01 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 4110.8 and 4514.1 until 06 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out06 Oct 2026
29 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3197 below 1.3203, 01 Oct 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated02 Oct 2026
29 Sept 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 60.61 and 65.07 until 30 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange1 dayPlayed out30 Sept 2026
29 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired02 Oct 2026
27 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired01 Oct 2026
27 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3203 and 1.3655 until 01 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out01 Oct 2026
26 Sept 2026EURGBPEURGBP: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 0.8538 and 0.8613 until 01 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out01 Oct 2026
26 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3203 and 1.3502 until 01 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out01 Oct 2026
26 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired01 Oct 2026
26 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 4127.1 below 4234.8, 28 Sept 2026View conditionsBullish3 sessionsInvalidated29 Sept 2026
25 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3203 and 1.3506 until 30 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out30 Sept 2026
24 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 157.28 below 157.69, 25 Sept 2026View conditionsBullish3 sessionsInvalidated26 Sept 2026
24 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3209 below 1.3214, 24 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated25 Sept 2026
24 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired29 Sept 2026
23 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired26 Sept 2026
22 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired25 Sept 2026
22 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 4234.8 and 4695.9 until 25 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out25 Sept 2026
22 Sept 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired25 Sept 2026
19 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.1448 below 1.1453, 22 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated23 Sept 2026
19 Sept 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired22 Sept 2026
19 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3238 below 1.3334, 23 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated24 Sept 2026
18 Sept 2026USDCADUSDCAD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.4033 above 1.4001, 21 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated22 Sept 2026
18 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3335 and 1.3675 until 23 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out23 Sept 2026
18 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired23 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026ETHUSDETHUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1884 and 2668 until 20 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out20 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026ETHUSDETHUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired20 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1454 and 1.1711 until 22 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out22 Sept 2026
16 Sept 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 62751 and 82300 until 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out19 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish1 dayExpired16 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3381 below 1.3462, 16 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated17 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired18 Sept 2026
11 Sept 2026ETHUSDETHUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1861 and 2567 until 14 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out14 Sept 2026
11 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1510 and 1.1711 until 16 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out16 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3473 and 1.3675 until 15 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out15 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 4315.0 below 4332.5, 10 Sept 2026View conditionsBullish3 sessionsInvalidated11 Sept 2026
09 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin holds its 30-day range as policy headlines circleView conditionsRangethrough the weekNot assessed—
09 Sept 2026EURUSDEuro trades above prior close and 50-day averageView conditionsRange1-3 daysNot assessed—
09 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold consolidates inside its 30-day bandView conditionsRangethrough the weekNot assessed—
08 Sept 2026GBPUSDSterling holds above its averages, testing toward the upper bandView conditionsBullish1-3 daysNot assessed—
08 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold holds inside a wide 30-day bandView conditionsRangethis weekNot assessed—
08 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold consolidates mid-range well under its record highView conditionsRangethis weekNot assessed—
08 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin still inside its 30-day band despite the golden-cross chatterView conditionsRangethis weekNot assessed—
07 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin consolidates below range highs, well above its 50-day averageView conditionsRange1-3 daysNot assessed—
07 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold holds above its 50-day average as Gulf tensions escalateView conditionsBullish1-3 daysNot assessed—
07 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold trades below prior close but above 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 4018.8 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out08 Sept 2026
07 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin slips off its 30-day high as operational and geopolitical headlines stack upView conditionsBearish1DExpired08 Sept 2026
07 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY sits below its 50-day average and near the floor of its 30-day rangePlayed out — held below 160.39 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out08 Sept 2026
06 Sept 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sitting under its 50-day average, near the range floorView conditionsRange1DNot assessed—
06 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin pressing the top of its 30-day rangePlayed out — held above 69093 through 07 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out07 Sept 2026
06 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold holds well above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 4268.3 through 07 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out07 Sept 2026
06 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin well above its average, testing upper rangeView conditionsRangeswingNot assessed—
06 Sept 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sitting under its average, lower half of recent rangePlayed out — held below 160.20 through 07 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintraday/swingPlayed out07 Sept 2026
06 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold trading above its 50-day average, within its 30-day rangeView conditionsRangeintraday/swingNot assessed—
05 Sept 2026EURGBPEuro/pound sits under its 30-day range topPlayed out — held above 0.8549 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026AUDUSDAussie presses 30-day range top, 52-week high still abovePlayed out — held above 0.7059 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026ETHUSDEther holding trend gains, still under its 30-day ceilingPlayed out — held above 2077 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin camped under 30-day range top, well above trendPlayed out — held above 68774 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026XAGUSDSilver Extends Above Its 50-Day AveragePlayed out — held above 56.55 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026EURUSDEuro Holds Mid-Range Into LondonPlayed out — held below 1.1711 through 06 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-1 dayPlayed out06 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Sits Under 80K After PayrollsPlayed out — held above 68774 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out08 Sept 2026
04 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin holds near the top of its 30-day rangeView conditionsRangeintraday-to-swingNot assessed—
04 Sept 2026ETHUSDEther close sits near top of 30-day rangePlayed out — held above 2066 through 09 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-5 dayPlayed out09 Sept 2026
04 Sept 2026XAGUSDSilver stretched well above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 62.21 through 09 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-5 dayPlayed out09 Sept 2026
04 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin sits inside its own 30-day boxPlayed out — held above 62468 through 09 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-5 dayPlayed out09 Sept 2026
03 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Presses Its 30-Day Ceiling as the Gold Correlation Story GrowsView conditionsRange1-2 week swingNot assessed—
03 Sept 2026EURUSDEuro Holds Above the 50-Day, Nearing Range TopView conditionsRangeswing (days)Not assessed—
03 Sept 2026USDJPYDollar-Yen Trades Under the 50-Day AverageView conditionsRangeintraday to swingNot assessed—
03 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold Consolidates Below the 30-Day HighView conditionsRangeswing (days)Not assessed—
03 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Trades Above 50-Day Average Near $77,744View conditionsRangeswing (days)Not assessed—
02 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold holds a wide premium to its 50-day average as yields firmPlayed out — held above 4249.1 through 03 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out03 Sept 2026
02 Sept 2026USDJPYDollar-yen slips back under its 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 160.53 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out05 Sept 2026
02 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold trades above 50-day average within 30-day rangePlayed out — held above 4249.1 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out05 Sept 2026
02 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin holds well above its 50-day average despite overnight selloffPlayed out — held above 62210 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out05 Sept 2026
01 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY parked right at its 50-day average amid BOJ-policy headlinesView conditionsRangeintraday to swingNot assessed—
01 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin consolidating well above trend, below its 30-day highPlayed out — held above 67576 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeswing (days)Played out08 Sept 2026
01 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold trading above its 50-day average amid risk-off headlinesView conditionsRangeswing (days)Not assessed—
01 Sept 2026EURGBPEuro-sterling pinned in a tight band as both sides show soft dataInvalidated — daily close 0.8592 above 0.8586, 02 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysInvalidated02 Sept 2026
01 Sept 2026USDJPYDollar-yen stuck under its own average, mid-rangePlayed out — held below 160.55 through 04 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out04 Sept 2026
01 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold sits inside range, below range highs, above 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 4246.2 through 04 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out04 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro holds above its 50-day average after a slightly cooler German CPI printView conditionsRange1-3 daysExpired03 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold sits just under its 30-day high as safe-haven headlines circulatePlayed out — held above 4240.7 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-5 daysPlayed out05 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin trades mid-range with a fresh institutional buy headline in the mixPlayed out — held above 67279 through 03 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out03 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin holds its close despite another DeFi exploit headlinePlayed out — held above 77684 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out31 Aug 2026
31 Aug 2026USDJPYUSDJPY trades below prior close and 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 160.59 through 01 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out01 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold softer into London despite Mideast headlinesPlayed out — held below 4458.2 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out31 Aug 2026
30 Aug 2026XAGUSDSilver holds gains well above its 50-day averageView conditionsRangeswingNot assessed—
30 Aug 2026AUDUSDAussie dollar sits near its 52-week highView conditionsRangeswingNot assessed—
30 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin trades near its 30-day range highPlayed out — held above 67001 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday/swingPlayed out31 Aug 2026
30 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-yen parked almost exactly on its 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 163.95 through 06 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintraday to swingPlayed out06 Sept 2026
30 Aug 2026XAGUSDSilver trades above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 61.77 through 06 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeswing (days)Played out06 Sept 2026
29 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-Yen Parked Right on Its 50-Day AveragePlayed out — held below 163.95 through 01 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out01 Sept 2026
29 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Holds Above Its Average After the Bounce Off the Low-60sPlayed out — held above 66719 through 01 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out01 Sept 2026
29 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold Sits Near Range Top, Well Clear of Its AveragePlayed out — held above 3995.9 through 01 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out01 Sept 2026
29 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin: sitting under the top of its 30-day rangePlayed out — held below 81500 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRangemulti-day swingPlayed out05 Sept 2026
28 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sitting just under its 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 160.66 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out29 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro sits near the top of its 30-day bandPlayed out — held above 1.1500 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out29 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin caught between a stretched average and a fresh range highPlayed out — held below 81300 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out29 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold holding the upper shelf of its recent rangeView conditionsBullishintraday-swingExpired29 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sits under its 50-day average ahead of Jackson HolePlayed out — held below 160.66 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday / pre-LondonPlayed out28 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold holds near the top of its 30-day bandPlayed out — held below 4696.6 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday / pre-LondonPlayed out28 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin sits under 80k, still well above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 81300 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday / pre-LondonPlayed out28 Aug 2026
27 Aug 2026AUDUSDAUDUSD trades near its 52-week highView conditionsRangeswingNot assessed—
27 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro sits mid-range as the dollar goes quietPlayed out — held below 1.1711 through 27 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out27 Aug 2026
27 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin stalls at the top of its 30-day rangeInvalidated — daily close 77839 below 79026, 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayInvalidated28 Aug 2026
27 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro Testing Top of Its 30-Day Range Against a Soft DollarPlayed out — held above 1.1353 through 03 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeswing (days)Played out03 Sept 2026
27 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Pulls Back From Range Top on Fed-Hike ChatterPlayed out — held below 81300 through 30 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday to 1-3 sessionsPlayed out30 Aug 2026
26 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro trades just under its 30-day high, above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 1.1490 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out29 Aug 2026
26 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold trades near cycle highs, well above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 4201.7 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out29 Aug 2026
26 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin stalls under the 30-day high after the squeezePlayed out — held below 81300 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out29 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro sits at the top of its recent bandPlayed out — held above 1.1485 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out28 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold eases off its 30-day highPlayed out — held above 4189.8 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out28 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin presses against its 30-day ceilingPlayed out — daily close 80275 above 80008, 27 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out27 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sits under its 50-day average, mid-range after the pullback from the 52-week highPlayed out — held below 160.83 through 25 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold eases off the range ceiling, still nowhere near its 50-day basePlayed out — held below 4682.6 through 25 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026BTCUSDBTC trades above its 30-day range high, 52-week high sits further aboveInvalidated — daily close 78527 below 80008, 25 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingInvalidated25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro Sits Near Range Top Ahead of German GDPPlayed out — held below 1.1711 through 26 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out26 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold Holds Just Under Its Recent HighPlayed out — held below 4682.6 through 26 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out26 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Trades Above 80k LevelInvalidated — daily close 78527 below 80008, 25 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1DInvalidated25 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin near range top amid split commentaryPlayed out — held above 65154 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeswingPlayed out31 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro parked near range top into German GDPView conditionsRangeintradayExpired24 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold trades above its own 30-day ceilingInvalidated — daily close 4623.4 below 4632.0, 26 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingInvalidated26 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin parked at the top of its 30-day box, sentiment split on the headline wirePlayed out — held above 65154 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeswing (days)Played out31 Aug 2026
11 Aug 2026US500The S&P 500 holds its breakout, at least on the SPY readView conditionsBullish1DNot assessed—
11 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin is back at the shelf that keeps turning it awayInvalidated — daily close 62975 below 63322, 14 Aug 2026View conditionsBullish1DInvalidated14 Aug 2026
11 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold refuses to give back its breakoutView conditionsBullish1DExpired12 Aug 2026
11 Aug 2026EURUSDEUR/USD keeps testing the same ceilingInvalidated — daily close 1.1674 above 1.1590, 19 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1DInvalidated19 Aug 2026

Open — not yet adjudicated · Played out — what the piece described happened within its timeframe · Invalidated — the piece's own invalidation triggered · Expired — the timeframe ended with neither

Open totals include calls that have not been assessed or are awaiting evidence. Range observations and directional calls are different evidence, not measures of trading profit.

By type: 69 directional calls · 150 range observations.

Retrospective examples

These historical examples remain in the archive but are excluded from prospective summary counts.

  • Retrospective: USD/JPY's 163 shelf gives way
  • Retrospective: Nasdaq 100 clears its July shelf
  • Retrospective: Cable reclaims its July shelf

How the ledger works

Prospective calls stay on the record. Retrospective examples are shown separately and excluded from the summary.

Calls are assessed against their stated conditions. Calls without sufficient evidence are marked as not assessed.

Original audit entries are preserved. Explicit corrections keep the previous recorded outcome and their own date. Counts are not win rates.

Outcomes describe what already happened. They say nothing about the next call.

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