USD/JPY is a bond trade
published 13:17 · updated never, that’s the point
USDJPY — prices, shape and the desk →
SOFR 3.87% · 22 Sept 2026 · NY Fed
The pair reads like an FX chart and behaves like a bond spread.
USD/JPY tracks the gap between US and Japanese government bond yields so closely that traders who ignore the bond market are reading half the chart, since a shift in that yield gap moves the pair long before any currency-specific headline does.