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All ideas/USDJPY

USDJPY: Conditional market observation

USDJPY3 sessionsBearishpublished 12:31 · updated never, that’s the point
157.45Daily closes, last 40 sessions, with the levels this idea names
160.40

40 sessions, 159.43 to 157.45; levels: resistance 160.40

LevelPriceWhy it matters
Resistance160.40USDJPY 30-observation range high

Levels read 12:30 UTC, 10 Sept 2026 · Massive + Massive + Twelve Data

USDJPY latest recorded daily close is 153.54. The observed price is below the selected resistance boundary.

USDJPY latest recorded daily close is 153.54. USDJPY previous recorded daily close is 153.44. USDJPY 50-observation average is 159.11. USDJPY 30-observation range high is 160.4. The bearish view is conditional, given that the observed price is below the selected resistance boundary; the stated daily-close condition defines its invalidation.

What would void this

A daily close above 160.4 invalidates the idea.

How this idea was made

free · public

Every number the engine used, and the checks it had to pass.

Latest recorded close — USDJPY · 153.536 JPY · observed 10 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

Previous recorded close — USDJPY · 153.444 JPY · observed 9 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

50-observation average — USDJPY · 159.1145026 JPY · observed 10 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive + Twelve Data)

30-observation high — USDJPY · 160.40466 JPY · observed 10 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive + Twelve Data)

Checks passed source evidence ✓ · model reviews 4/4 · compliance ✓

Rejected in the same run — we show the misses too

GBPUSD, 3 sessions: GBPUSD: Conditional market observation dropped: duplicate-thesis

On the ledger

Expired
View conditions

Published 10 Sept 2026, 12:31 UTC · evaluation deadline 15 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

  • Invalidated by a daily close above 160.4.

Evaluation uses completed UTC-dated daily bars. A close is assigned to the end of its UTC day. Only observations after publication and at or before the deadline qualify.

Weekday observations are required. Weekends are excluded from expected coverage; missing holiday observations remain awaiting evidence.

Dated audit history

  • 10 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · Machine audit record · Open

  • 11 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · Machine audit record · Open

  • 13 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · Machine audit record · Open

  • 15 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · Machine audit record · Expired

Original audit entries remain visible, including superseded attempts. The current recorded outcome appears above. A recorded condition is not a trading return.

USDJPY now

Last close157.45Prior close157.3750-day average157.6730-day range152.88 to 160.4052-week high164.0952-week low152.05
Everything on USDJPY

Recent calls on USDJPY

  • USDJPY: Conditional market observation15 Sept, 1 day, expired
  • USDJPY: Conditional market observation10 Sept, 3 sessions, expired
  • USDJPY sits below its 50-day average and near the floor of its 30-day range07 Sept, 1D, played out