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Au$XAU/USD 4137.6 −0.09%Ag$XAG/USD 60.32 −1.33%▲$WTI · via USO 147.37 −1.77%€$EUR/USD 1.1253 +0.01%£$GBP/USD 1.3239 −0.00%$¥USD/JPY 157.86 −0.01%A$$AUD/USD 0.6953 +0.36%$C$USD/CAD 1.4248 +0.19%€£EUR/GBP 0.8494 −0.33%₿$BTC/USD 84831 +0.37%Ξ$ETH/USD 2668 −1.38%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 769.64 +0.74%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 749.58 +1.02%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 67.00 +1.39%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1018p +0.34%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 207.65 −0.76%Au$XAU/USD 4137.6 −0.09%Ag$XAG/USD 60.32 −1.33%▲$WTI · via USO 147.37 −1.77%€$EUR/USD 1.1253 +0.01%£$GBP/USD 1.3239 −0.00%$¥USD/JPY 157.86 −0.01%A$$AUD/USD 0.6953 +0.36%$C$USD/CAD 1.4248 +0.19%€£EUR/GBP 0.8494 −0.33%₿$BTC/USD 84831 +0.37%Ξ$ETH/USD 2668 −1.38%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 769.64 +0.74%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 749.58 +1.02%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 67.00 +1.39%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1018p +0.34%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 207.65 −0.76%
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All ideas/XAUUSD

XAUUSD: Conditional market observation

XAUUSD3 sessionsBearishpublished 12:31 · updated never, that’s the point
4139.5Daily closes, last 40 sessions, with the levels this idea names
4514.1

40 sessions, 4603.9 to 4139.5; levels: resistance 4514.1

LevelPriceWhy it matters
Resistance4514.1XAUUSD 30-observation range high

Levels read 12:30 UTC, 3 Oct 2026 · Massive + Massive + Twelve Data

XAUUSD latest recorded daily close is 4139.5. The observed price is below the selected resistance boundary.

XAUUSD latest recorded daily close is 4139.5. XAUUSD previous recorded daily close is 4181.8. XAUUSD 50-observation average is 4387.8. XAUUSD 30-observation range high is 4514.1. The bearish view is conditional, given that the observed price is below the selected resistance boundary; the stated daily-close condition defines its invalidation.

What would void this

A daily close above 4514.1 invalidates the idea.

How this idea was made

free · public

Every number the engine used, and the checks it had to pass.

Latest recorded close — XAUUSD · 4,139.49 USD · observed 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

Previous recorded close — XAUUSD · 4,181.76 USD · observed 2 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

50-observation average — XAUUSD · 4,387.806176 USD · observed 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive + Twelve Data)

30-observation high — XAUUSD · 4,514.11331 USD · observed 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive + Twelve Data)

Checks passed source evidence ✓ · model reviews 4/4 · compliance ✓

On the ledger

Open
View conditions

Published 3 Oct 2026, 12:31 UTC · evaluation deadline 8 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

  • Invalidated by a daily close above 4,514.1.

Evaluation uses completed UTC-dated daily bars. A close is assigned to the end of its UTC day. Only observations after publication and at or before the deadline qualify.

Weekday observations are required. Weekends are excluded from expected coverage; missing holiday observations remain awaiting evidence.

Dated audit history

No audit entries are available for this record.

Original audit entries remain visible, including superseded attempts. The current recorded outcome appears above. A recorded condition is not a trading return.

XAUUSD now

Last close4139.5Prior close4181.850-day average4387.830-day range4110.8 to 4514.152-week high5597.252-week low3949.4
Everything on XAUUSD

Recent calls on XAUUSD

  • XAUUSD: Conditional market observation02 Oct, 3 sessions, open
  • XAUUSD: Conditional market observation01 Oct, 3 sessions, open
  • XAUUSD: Conditional market observation29 Sept, 3 sessions, expired