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All ideas/XAUUSD

XAUUSD: Conditional market observation

XAUUSD3 sessionsBearishpublished 12:31 · updated never, that’s the point
3938.0Daily closes, last 40 sessions, with the levels this idea names
4352.6

40 sessions, 4377.5 to 3938.0; levels: resistance 4352.6

LevelPriceWhy it matters
Resistance4352.6XAUUSD 50-observation average

Levels read 12:30 UTC, 13 Oct 2026 · Massive + Massive + Twelve Data

XAUUSD latest recorded daily close is 4170.5. The observed price is below the selected resistance boundary.

XAUUSD latest recorded daily close is 4170.5. XAUUSD previous recorded daily close is 4190.3. XAUUSD 50-observation average is 4352.6. XAUUSD 30-observation range high is 4442.7. XAUUSD 30-observation range low is 4066.3. The bearish view is conditional, given that the observed price is below the selected resistance boundary; the stated daily-close condition defines its invalidation.

What would void this

A daily close above 4352.6 invalidates the idea.

How this idea was made

free · public

Every number the engine used, and the checks it had to pass.

Latest recorded close — XAUUSD · 4,170.54 USD · observed 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

Previous recorded close — XAUUSD · 4,190.27 USD · observed 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

50-observation average — XAUUSD · 4,352.6129494 USD · observed 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive + Twelve Data)

30-observation high — XAUUSD · 4,442.67 USD · observed 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

30-observation low — XAUUSD · 4,066.31 USD · observed 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

Checks passed source evidence ✓ · model reviews 4/4 · compliance ✓

Rejected in the same run — we show the misses too

USDJPY, 3 sessions: USDJPY: Conditional market observation dropped: duplicate-thesis

On the ledger

Expired
View conditions

Published 13 Oct 2026, 12:31 UTC · evaluation deadline 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

  • Invalidated by a daily close above 4,352.6.

Evaluation uses completed UTC-dated daily bars. A close is assigned to the end of its UTC day. Only observations after publication and at or before the deadline qualify.

Weekday observations are required. Weekends are excluded from expected coverage; missing holiday observations remain awaiting evidence.

Dated audit history

  • 13 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Machine audit record · Open

  • 16 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Machine audit record · Expired

Original audit entries remain visible, including superseded attempts. The current recorded outcome appears above. A recorded condition is not a trading return.

XAUUSD now

Last close3938.0Prior close3947.750-day average4178.330-day range3870.0 to 4225.852-week high5417.852-week low3870.0
Everything on XAUUSD

Recent calls on XAUUSD

  • XAUUSD: Conditional market observation04 Nov, 3 sessions, open
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