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Au$XAU/USD 4195.9 +0.02%Ag$XAG/USD 60.77 +2.02%▲$WTI · via USO 148.20 +0.42%€$EUR/USD 1.1202 +0.01%£$GBP/USD 1.3233 −0.06%$¥USD/JPY 158.32 +0.05%A$$AUD/USD 0.6982 +0.33%$C$USD/CAD 1.4255 +0.22%€£EUR/GBP 0.8463 −0.15%₿$BTC/USD 82828 +0.23%Ξ$ETH/USD 2485 +0.50%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 778.57 +0.60%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 751.27 +0.49%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 65.92 +0.53%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1027p +1.10%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 204.45 −1.21%Au$XAU/USD 4195.9 +0.02%Ag$XAG/USD 60.77 +2.02%▲$WTI · via USO 148.20 +0.42%€$EUR/USD 1.1202 +0.01%£$GBP/USD 1.3233 −0.06%$¥USD/JPY 158.32 +0.05%A$$AUD/USD 0.6982 +0.33%$C$USD/CAD 1.4255 +0.22%€£EUR/GBP 0.8463 −0.15%₿$BTC/USD 82828 +0.23%Ξ$ETH/USD 2485 +0.50%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 778.57 +0.60%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 751.27 +0.49%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 65.92 +0.53%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1027p +1.10%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 204.45 −1.21%
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All ideas/XAUUSD

XAUUSD: Conditional market observation

XAUUSD3 sessionsBullishpublished 06:31 · updated never, that’s the point
4192.9Daily closes, last 40 sessions, with the levels this idea names
4066.3

40 sessions, 4601.5 to 4192.9; levels: support 4066.3

LevelPriceWhy it matters
Support4066.3XAUUSD 30-observation range low

Levels read 06:30 UTC, 10 Oct 2026 · Massive + Twelve Data + Massive

XAUUSD latest recorded daily close is 4192.9. The observed price is above the selected support boundary.

XAUUSD 30-observation range low is 4066.3. XAUUSD latest recorded daily close is 4192.9. XAUUSD previous recorded daily close is 4144.5. XAUUSD 50-observation average is 4360.4. The bullish view is conditional, given that the observed price is above the selected support boundary; the stated daily-close condition defines its invalidation.

What would void this

A daily close below 4066.3 invalidates the idea.

How this idea was made

free · public

Every number the engine used, and the checks it had to pass.

30-observation low — XAUUSD · 4,066.31 USD · observed 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive + Twelve Data)

Latest recorded close — XAUUSD · 4,192.86 USD · observed 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

Previous recorded close — XAUUSD · 4,144.5 USD · observed 9 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive)

50-observation average — XAUUSD · 4,360.442882 USD · observed 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC (Massive + Twelve Data)

Checks passed source evidence ✓ · model reviews 4/4 · compliance ✓

Rejected in the same run — we show the misses too

BTCUSD, 3 sessions: BTCUSD: Conditional market observation dropped: duplicate-thesis

On the ledger

Open
View conditions

Published 10 Oct 2026, 06:31 UTC · evaluation deadline 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

  • Invalidated by a daily close below 4,066.3.

Evaluation uses completed UTC-dated daily bars. A close is assigned to the end of its UTC day. Only observations after publication and at or before the deadline qualify.

Weekday observations are required. Weekends are excluded from expected coverage; missing holiday observations remain awaiting evidence.

Dated audit history

No audit entries are available for this record.

Original audit entries remain visible, including superseded attempts. The current recorded outcome appears above. A recorded condition is not a trading return.

XAUUSD now

Last close4192.9Prior close4144.550-day average4360.430-day range4066.3 to 4442.752-week high5597.252-week low3949.4
Everything on XAUUSD

Recent calls on XAUUSD

  • XAUUSD: Conditional market observation09 Oct, 3 sessions, open
  • XAUUSD: Conditional market observation07 Oct, 3 sessions, open
  • XAUUSD: Conditional market observation03 Oct, 3 sessions, expired