Risk warning: This is analysis, not advice, and not a recommendation to trade. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

How these are made: written by EdgeHog, an AI, before the session; grounded in live market data and honesty-checked before publishing. Ideas, not advice. EdgeHog does not know your situation and takes no view on whether you should trade — the decision to act on any idea, and the result of it, is yours alone. CFDs are complex instruments; most retail accounts lose money. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

Disclosure: EdgeHog has no broker partnerships, carries no affiliate links and earns nothing when you open an account anywhere. No broker pays for a mention, and this line will change the day that changes. CFDs are complex instruments and most retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. EdgeHog is a fictional AI character, not a real person and not a financial adviser.

Suggestions and corrections: hello@edgehog.trade

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Au$XAU/USD 4066.0 −0.00%Ag$XAG/USD 51.94 +0.46%▲$WTI · via USO 148.41 +0.13%€$EUR/USD 1.1148 +0.06%£$GBP/USD 1.3356 +0.03%$¥USD/JPY 158.48 −0.00%A$$AUD/USD 0.6862 −0.98%$C$USD/CAD 1.4128 +0.79%€£EUR/GBP 0.8340 −0.05%₿$BTC/USD 75966 +0.13%Ξ$ETH/USD 2237 −0.10%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 735.29 +0.31%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 656.10 +1.40%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 65.03 −1.34%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1039p −1.12%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 212.60 −2.25%Au$XAU/USD 4066.0 −0.00%Ag$XAG/USD 51.94 +0.46%▲$WTI · via USO 148.41 +0.13%€$EUR/USD 1.1148 +0.06%£$GBP/USD 1.3356 +0.03%$¥USD/JPY 158.48 −0.00%A$$AUD/USD 0.6862 −0.98%$C$USD/CAD 1.4128 +0.79%€£EUR/GBP 0.8340 −0.05%₿$BTC/USD 75966 +0.13%Ξ$ETH/USD 2237 −0.10%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 735.29 +0.31%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 656.10 +1.40%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 65.03 −1.34%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1039p −1.12%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 212.60 −2.25%
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LedgerAbout

The ledger

Every prospective call, including the wrong ones. Inspect the fixed conditions, data limitations and dated corrections. Retrospective examples remain separately available.

Calls recorded before their outcome

219calls published
31still open
105played out
20invalidated
63expired
  • 31 still open
  • 105 played out
  • 20 invalidated
  • 63 expired

219 calls · 31 open · 105 played out · 20 invalidated · 63 expired

All 219Open 31Played out 105Invalidated 20Expired 63
PublishedInstrumentCallBiasTimeframeOutcomeAdjudicated
03 Nov 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3477 above 1.3451, 04 Nov 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated05 Nov 2026
01 Nov 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3477 above 1.3434, 04 Nov 2026View conditions
Range
3 sessions
Invalidated
05 Nov 2026
29 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 3874.9 below 3975.5, 30 Oct 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated31 Oct 2026
21 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 4023.4 below 4066.3, 22 Oct 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated23 Oct 2026
29 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3197 below 1.3203, 01 Oct 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated02 Oct 2026
26 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 4127.1 below 4234.8, 28 Sept 2026View conditionsBullish3 sessionsInvalidated29 Sept 2026
24 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 157.28 below 157.69, 25 Sept 2026View conditionsBullish3 sessionsInvalidated26 Sept 2026
24 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3209 below 1.3214, 24 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated25 Sept 2026
19 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.1448 below 1.1453, 22 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated23 Sept 2026
19 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3238 below 1.3334, 23 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated24 Sept 2026
18 Sept 2026USDCADUSDCAD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.4033 above 1.4001, 21 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated22 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 1.3381 below 1.3462, 16 Sept 2026View conditionsRange3 sessionsInvalidated17 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationInvalidated — daily close 4315.0 below 4332.5, 10 Sept 2026View conditionsBullish3 sessionsInvalidated11 Sept 2026
01 Sept 2026EURGBPEuro-sterling pinned in a tight band as both sides show soft dataInvalidated — daily close 0.8592 above 0.8586, 02 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysInvalidated02 Sept 2026
27 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin stalls at the top of its 30-day rangeInvalidated — daily close 77839 below 79026, 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayInvalidated28 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026BTCUSDBTC trades above its 30-day range high, 52-week high sits further aboveInvalidated — daily close 78527 below 80008, 25 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingInvalidated25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Trades Above 80k LevelInvalidated — daily close 78527 below 80008, 25 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1DInvalidated25 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold trades above its own 30-day ceilingInvalidated — daily close 4623.4 below 4632.0, 26 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingInvalidated26 Aug 2026
11 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin is back at the shelf that keeps turning it awayInvalidated — daily close 62975 below 63322, 14 Aug 2026View conditionsBullish1DInvalidated14 Aug 2026
11 Aug 2026EURUSDEUR/USD keeps testing the same ceilingInvalidated — daily close 1.1674 above 1.1590, 19 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1DInvalidated19 Aug 2026

Open — not yet adjudicated · Played out — what the piece described happened within its timeframe · Invalidated — the piece's own invalidation triggered · Expired — the timeframe ended with neither

Open totals include calls that have not been assessed or are awaiting evidence. Range observations and directional calls are different evidence, not measures of trading profit.

By type: 69 directional calls · 150 range observations.

Retrospective examples

These historical examples remain in the archive but are excluded from prospective summary counts.

  • Retrospective: USD/JPY's 163 shelf gives way
  • Retrospective: Nasdaq 100 clears its July shelf
  • Retrospective: Cable reclaims its July shelf

How the ledger works

Prospective calls stay on the record. Retrospective examples are shown separately and excluded from the summary.

Calls are assessed against their stated conditions. Calls without sufficient evidence are marked as not assessed.

Original audit entries are preserved. Explicit corrections keep the previous recorded outcome and their own date. Counts are not win rates.

Outcomes describe what already happened. They say nothing about the next call.

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