Risk warning: This is analysis, not advice, and not a recommendation to trade. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

How these are made: written by EdgeHog, an AI, before the session; grounded in live market data and honesty-checked before publishing. Ideas, not advice. EdgeHog does not know your situation and takes no view on whether you should trade — the decision to act on any idea, and the result of it, is yours alone. CFDs are complex instruments; most retail accounts lose money. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

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Au$XAU/USD 4274.4 −0.29%Ag$XAG/USD 67.39 +1.12%▲$WTI · via USO 144.08 −2.75%€$EUR/USD 1.1372 −0.11%£$GBP/USD 1.3227 −0.10%$¥USD/JPY 157.90 −0.28%A$$AUD/USD 0.7112 −0.08%$C$USD/CAD 1.4065 +0.23%€£EUR/GBP 0.8579 +0.05%₿$BTC/USD 83968 −0.51%Ξ$ETH/USD 2753 −0.80%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 767.81 −0.72%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 741.21 −0.84%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 67.96 −1.55%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1044p +0.85%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 210.85 +1.10%Au$XAU/USD 4274.4 −0.29%Ag$XAG/USD 67.39 +1.12%▲$WTI · via USO 144.08 −2.75%€$EUR/USD 1.1372 −0.11%£$GBP/USD 1.3227 −0.10%$¥USD/JPY 157.90 −0.28%A$$AUD/USD 0.7112 −0.08%$C$USD/CAD 1.4065 +0.23%€£EUR/GBP 0.8579 +0.05%₿$BTC/USD 83968 −0.51%Ξ$ETH/USD 2753 −0.80%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 767.81 −0.72%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 741.21 −0.84%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 67.96 −1.55%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1044p +0.85%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 210.85 +1.10%
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LedgerAbout

The ledger

Every prospective call, including the wrong ones. Inspect the fixed conditions, data limitations and dated corrections. Retrospective examples remain separately available.

Calls recorded before their outcome

116calls published
29still open
62played out
11invalidated
14expired
  • 29 still open
  • 62 played out
  • 11 invalidated
  • 14 expired

116 calls · 29 open · 62 played out · 11 invalidated · 14 expired

All 116Open 29Played out 62Invalidated 11Expired 14
PublishedInstrumentCallBiasTimeframeOutcomeAdjudicated
18 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3335 and 1.3675 until 23 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out23 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026ETHUSDETHUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1884 and 2668 until 20 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
View conditions
Range
3 sessions
Played out
20 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1454 and 1.1711 until 22 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out22 Sept 2026
16 Sept 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 62751 and 82300 until 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out19 Sept 2026
11 Sept 2026ETHUSDETHUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1861 and 2567 until 14 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out14 Sept 2026
11 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.1510 and 1.1711 until 16 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out16 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationPlayed out — daily closes remained between 1.3473 and 1.3675 until 15 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCView conditionsRange3 sessionsPlayed out15 Sept 2026
07 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold trades below prior close but above 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 4018.8 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out08 Sept 2026
07 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY sits below its 50-day average and near the floor of its 30-day rangePlayed out — held below 160.39 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out08 Sept 2026
06 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin pressing the top of its 30-day rangePlayed out — held above 69093 through 07 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out07 Sept 2026
06 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold holds well above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 4268.3 through 07 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out07 Sept 2026
06 Sept 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sitting under its average, lower half of recent rangePlayed out — held below 160.20 through 07 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintraday/swingPlayed out07 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026EURGBPEuro/pound sits under its 30-day range topPlayed out — held above 0.8549 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026AUDUSDAussie presses 30-day range top, 52-week high still abovePlayed out — held above 0.7059 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026ETHUSDEther holding trend gains, still under its 30-day ceilingPlayed out — held above 2077 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin camped under 30-day range top, well above trendPlayed out — held above 68774 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026XAGUSDSilver Extends Above Its 50-Day AveragePlayed out — held above 56.55 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out08 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026EURUSDEuro Holds Mid-Range Into LondonPlayed out — held below 1.1711 through 06 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-1 dayPlayed out06 Sept 2026
05 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Sits Under 80K After PayrollsPlayed out — held above 68774 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out08 Sept 2026
04 Sept 2026ETHUSDEther close sits near top of 30-day rangePlayed out — held above 2066 through 09 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-5 dayPlayed out09 Sept 2026
04 Sept 2026XAGUSDSilver stretched well above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 62.21 through 09 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-5 dayPlayed out09 Sept 2026
04 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin sits inside its own 30-day boxPlayed out — held above 62468 through 09 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-5 dayPlayed out09 Sept 2026
02 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold holds a wide premium to its 50-day average as yields firmPlayed out — held above 4249.1 through 03 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out03 Sept 2026
02 Sept 2026USDJPYDollar-yen slips back under its 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 160.53 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out05 Sept 2026
02 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold trades above 50-day average within 30-day rangePlayed out — held above 4249.1 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out05 Sept 2026
02 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin holds well above its 50-day average despite overnight selloffPlayed out — held above 62210 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out05 Sept 2026
01 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin consolidating well above trend, below its 30-day highPlayed out — held above 67576 through 08 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeswing (days)Played out08 Sept 2026
01 Sept 2026USDJPYDollar-yen stuck under its own average, mid-rangePlayed out — held below 160.55 through 04 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out04 Sept 2026
01 Sept 2026XAUUSDGold sits inside range, below range highs, above 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 4246.2 through 04 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out04 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold sits just under its 30-day high as safe-haven headlines circulatePlayed out — held above 4240.7 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-5 daysPlayed out05 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin trades mid-range with a fresh institutional buy headline in the mixPlayed out — held above 67279 through 03 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out03 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin holds its close despite another DeFi exploit headlinePlayed out — held above 77684 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out31 Aug 2026
31 Aug 2026USDJPYUSDJPY trades below prior close and 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 160.59 through 01 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out01 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold softer into London despite Mideast headlinesPlayed out — held below 4458.2 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out31 Aug 2026
30 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin trades near its 30-day range highPlayed out — held above 67001 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday/swingPlayed out31 Aug 2026
30 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-yen parked almost exactly on its 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 163.95 through 06 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeintraday to swingPlayed out06 Sept 2026
30 Aug 2026XAGUSDSilver trades above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 61.77 through 06 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeswing (days)Played out06 Sept 2026
29 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-Yen Parked Right on Its 50-Day AveragePlayed out — held below 163.95 through 01 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out01 Sept 2026
29 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Holds Above Its Average After the Bounce Off the Low-60sPlayed out — held above 66719 through 01 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out01 Sept 2026
29 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold Sits Near Range Top, Well Clear of Its AveragePlayed out — held above 3995.9 through 01 Sept 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out01 Sept 2026
29 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin: sitting under the top of its 30-day rangePlayed out — held below 81500 through 05 Sept 2026View conditionsRangemulti-day swingPlayed out05 Sept 2026
28 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sitting just under its 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 160.66 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out29 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro sits near the top of its 30-day bandPlayed out — held above 1.1500 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out29 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin caught between a stretched average and a fresh range highPlayed out — held below 81300 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out29 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sits under its 50-day average ahead of Jackson HolePlayed out — held below 160.66 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday / pre-LondonPlayed out28 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold holds near the top of its 30-day bandPlayed out — held below 4696.6 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday / pre-LondonPlayed out28 Aug 2026
28 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin sits under 80k, still well above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held below 81300 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday / pre-LondonPlayed out28 Aug 2026
27 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro sits mid-range as the dollar goes quietPlayed out — held below 1.1711 through 27 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out27 Aug 2026
27 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro Testing Top of Its 30-Day Range Against a Soft DollarPlayed out — held above 1.1353 through 03 Sept 2026View conditionsRangeswing (days)Played out03 Sept 2026
27 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin Pulls Back From Range Top on Fed-Hike ChatterPlayed out — held below 81300 through 30 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday to 1-3 sessionsPlayed out30 Aug 2026
26 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro trades just under its 30-day high, above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 1.1490 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out29 Aug 2026
26 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold trades near cycle highs, well above its 50-day averagePlayed out — held above 4201.7 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out29 Aug 2026
26 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin stalls under the 30-day high after the squeezePlayed out — held below 81300 through 29 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 daysPlayed out29 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro sits at the top of its recent bandPlayed out — held above 1.1485 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out28 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold eases off its 30-day highPlayed out — held above 4189.8 through 28 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out28 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin presses against its 30-day ceilingPlayed out — daily close 80275 above 80008, 27 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1-3 dayPlayed out27 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026USDJPYDollar-yen sits under its 50-day average, mid-range after the pullback from the 52-week highPlayed out — held below 160.83 through 25 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintraday-swingPlayed out25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold eases off the range ceiling, still nowhere near its 50-day basePlayed out — held below 4682.6 through 25 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeintradayPlayed out25 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro Sits Near Range Top Ahead of German GDPPlayed out — held below 1.1711 through 26 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out26 Aug 2026
25 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold Holds Just Under Its Recent HighPlayed out — held below 4682.6 through 26 Aug 2026View conditionsRange1DPlayed out26 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin near range top amid split commentaryPlayed out — held above 65154 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeswingPlayed out31 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026BTCUSDBitcoin parked at the top of its 30-day box, sentiment split on the headline wirePlayed out — held above 65154 through 31 Aug 2026View conditionsRangeswing (days)Played out31 Aug 2026

Open — not yet adjudicated · Played out — what the piece described happened within its timeframe · Invalidated — the piece's own invalidation triggered · Expired — the timeframe ended with neither

Open totals include calls that have not been assessed or are awaiting evidence. Range observations and directional calls are different evidence, not measures of trading profit.

By type: 20 directional calls · 96 range observations.

Retrospective examples

These historical examples remain in the archive but are excluded from prospective summary counts.

  • Retrospective: USD/JPY's 163 shelf gives way
  • Retrospective: Nasdaq 100 clears its July shelf
  • Retrospective: Cable reclaims its July shelf

How the ledger works

Prospective calls stay on the record. Retrospective examples are shown separately and excluded from the summary.

Calls are assessed against their stated conditions. Calls without sufficient evidence are marked as not assessed.

Original audit entries are preserved. Explicit corrections keep the previous recorded outcome and their own date. Counts are not win rates.

Outcomes describe what already happened. They say nothing about the next call.

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