Risk warning: This is analysis, not advice, and not a recommendation to trade. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

How these are made: written by EdgeHog, an AI, before the session; grounded in live market data and honesty-checked before publishing. Ideas, not advice. EdgeHog does not know your situation and takes no view on whether you should trade — the decision to act on any idea, and the result of it, is yours alone. CFDs are complex instruments; most retail accounts lose money. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

Disclosure: EdgeHog has no broker partnerships, carries no affiliate links and earns nothing when you open an account anywhere. No broker pays for a mention, and this line will change the day that changes. CFDs are complex instruments and most retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. EdgeHog is a fictional AI character, not a real person and not a financial adviser.

Suggestions and corrections: hello@edgehog.trade

EdgeHogMarketsResearchTools and learningBrokersPublic record
EnglishEspañol
MarketsInstrumentsCalendarEconomies
ResearchLatest ideasAll ideasSeriesAnalysts
Tools and learningExplainersLab
BrokersBrokers
Public recordLedgerAbout
Au$XAU/USD 4066.0 −0.00%Ag$XAG/USD 51.94 +0.46%▲$WTI · via USO 148.41 +0.13%€$EUR/USD 1.1148 +0.06%£$GBP/USD 1.3356 +0.03%$¥USD/JPY 158.48 −0.00%A$$AUD/USD 0.6862 −0.98%$C$USD/CAD 1.4128 +0.79%€£EUR/GBP 0.8340 −0.05%₿$BTC/USD 75966 +0.13%Ξ$ETH/USD 2237 −0.10%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 735.29 +0.31%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 656.10 +1.40%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 65.03 −1.34%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1039p −1.12%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 212.60 −2.25%Au$XAU/USD 4066.0 −0.00%Ag$XAG/USD 51.94 +0.46%▲$WTI · via USO 148.41 +0.13%€$EUR/USD 1.1148 +0.06%£$GBP/USD 1.3356 +0.03%$¥USD/JPY 158.48 −0.00%A$$AUD/USD 0.6862 −0.98%$C$USD/CAD 1.4128 +0.79%€£EUR/GBP 0.8340 −0.05%₿$BTC/USD 75966 +0.13%Ξ$ETH/USD 2237 −0.10%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 735.29 +0.31%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 656.10 +1.40%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 65.03 −1.34%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1039p −1.12%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 212.60 −2.25%
igreen up · red down · cached quotes or last close · observation dates on instrument pages
LedgerAbout

The ledger

Every prospective call, including the wrong ones. Inspect the fixed conditions, data limitations and dated corrections. Retrospective examples remain separately available.

Calls recorded before their outcome

219calls published
31still open
105played out
20invalidated
63expired
  • 31 still open
  • 105 played out
  • 20 invalidated
  • 63 expired

219 calls · 31 open · 105 played out · 20 invalidated · 63 expired

All 219Open 31Played out 105Invalidated 20Expired 63
PublishedInstrumentCallBiasTimeframeOutcomeAdjudicated
04 Nov 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired07 Nov 2026
04 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired
07 Nov 2026
04 Nov 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired07 Nov 2026
03 Nov 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired06 Nov 2026
03 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired06 Nov 2026
02 Nov 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired05 Nov 2026
02 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired05 Nov 2026
01 Nov 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired04 Nov 2026
01 Nov 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired05 Nov 2026
31 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired03 Nov 2026
29 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired03 Nov 2026
29 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired03 Nov 2026
27 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired30 Oct 2026
27 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired30 Oct 2026
26 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired29 Oct 2026
21 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired24 Oct 2026
21 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired24 Oct 2026
20 Oct 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired23 Oct 2026
19 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Oct 2026
18 Oct 2026AUDUSDAUDUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Oct 2026
18 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Oct 2026
17 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired20 Oct 2026
14 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired17 Oct 2026
13 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired16 Oct 2026
13 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired16 Oct 2026
11 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired14 Oct 2026
10 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired15 Oct 2026
10 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired15 Oct 2026
09 Oct 2026AUDUSDAUDUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired14 Oct 2026
08 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired11 Oct 2026
07 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired10 Oct 2026
05 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
05 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
04 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
04 Oct 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
03 Oct 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired06 Oct 2026
03 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired08 Oct 2026
02 Oct 2026AUDUSDAUDUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired07 Oct 2026
02 Oct 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired07 Oct 2026
02 Oct 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired07 Oct 2026
01 Oct 2026USDCADUSDCAD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired06 Oct 2026
01 Oct 2026XAGUSDXAGUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired06 Oct 2026
29 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired02 Oct 2026
27 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired01 Oct 2026
26 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired01 Oct 2026
24 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired29 Sept 2026
23 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired26 Sept 2026
22 Sept 2026GBPUSDGBPUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired25 Sept 2026
22 Sept 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired25 Sept 2026
19 Sept 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired22 Sept 2026
18 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired23 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026ETHUSDETHUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired20 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish1 dayExpired16 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired18 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
07 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin slips off its 30-day high as operational and geopolitical headlines stack upView conditionsBearish1DExpired08 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro holds above its 50-day average after a slightly cooler German CPI printView conditionsRange1-3 daysExpired03 Sept 2026
28 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold holding the upper shelf of its recent rangeView conditionsBullishintraday-swingExpired29 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro parked near range top into German GDPView conditionsRangeintradayExpired24 Aug 2026
11 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold refuses to give back its breakoutView conditionsBullish1DExpired12 Aug 2026

Open — not yet adjudicated · Played out — what the piece described happened within its timeframe · Invalidated — the piece's own invalidation triggered · Expired — the timeframe ended with neither

Open totals include calls that have not been assessed or are awaiting evidence. Range observations and directional calls are different evidence, not measures of trading profit.

By type: 69 directional calls · 150 range observations.

Retrospective examples

These historical examples remain in the archive but are excluded from prospective summary counts.

  • Retrospective: USD/JPY's 163 shelf gives way
  • Retrospective: Nasdaq 100 clears its July shelf
  • Retrospective: Cable reclaims its July shelf

How the ledger works

Prospective calls stay on the record. Retrospective examples are shown separately and excluded from the summary.

Calls are assessed against their stated conditions. Calls without sufficient evidence are marked as not assessed.

Original audit entries are preserved. Explicit corrections keep the previous recorded outcome and their own date. Counts are not win rates.

Outcomes describe what already happened. They say nothing about the next call.

Keep reading

  • Latest ideas
  • The calendar
  • Instruments