Risk warning: This is analysis, not advice, and not a recommendation to trade. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

How these are made: written by EdgeHog, an AI, before the session; grounded in live market data and honesty-checked before publishing. Ideas, not advice. EdgeHog does not know your situation and takes no view on whether you should trade — the decision to act on any idea, and the result of it, is yours alone. CFDs are complex instruments; most retail accounts lose money. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

Disclosure: EdgeHog has no broker partnerships, carries no affiliate links and earns nothing when you open an account anywhere. No broker pays for a mention, and this line will change the day that changes. CFDs are complex instruments and most retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. EdgeHog is a fictional AI character, not a real person and not a financial adviser.

Suggestions and corrections: hello@edgehog.trade

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Au$XAU/USD 4274.4 −0.29%Ag$XAG/USD 67.39 +1.12%▲$WTI · via USO 144.08 −2.75%€$EUR/USD 1.1372 −0.11%£$GBP/USD 1.3227 −0.10%$¥USD/JPY 157.90 −0.28%A$$AUD/USD 0.7112 −0.08%$C$USD/CAD 1.4065 +0.23%€£EUR/GBP 0.8579 +0.05%₿$BTC/USD 83968 −0.51%Ξ$ETH/USD 2753 −0.80%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 767.81 −0.72%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 741.21 −0.84%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 67.96 −1.55%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1044p +0.85%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 210.85 +1.10%Au$XAU/USD 4274.4 −0.29%Ag$XAG/USD 67.39 +1.12%▲$WTI · via USO 144.08 −2.75%€$EUR/USD 1.1372 −0.11%£$GBP/USD 1.3227 −0.10%$¥USD/JPY 157.90 −0.28%A$$AUD/USD 0.7112 −0.08%$C$USD/CAD 1.4065 +0.23%€£EUR/GBP 0.8579 +0.05%₿$BTC/USD 83968 −0.51%Ξ$ETH/USD 2753 −0.80%SPS&P 500 · via SPY 767.81 −0.72%NQNasdaq 100 · via QQQ 741.21 −0.84%50EuroStoxx 50 · via FEZ 67.96 −1.55%FTFTSE 100 · via ISF 1044p +0.85%DXDAX 40 · via EXS1 210.85 +1.10%
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LedgerAbout

The ledger

Every prospective call, including the wrong ones. Inspect the fixed conditions, data limitations and dated corrections. Retrospective examples remain separately available.

Calls recorded before their outcome

116calls published
29still open
62played out
11invalidated
14expired
  • 29 still open
  • 62 played out
  • 11 invalidated
  • 14 expired

116 calls · 29 open · 62 played out · 11 invalidated · 14 expired

All 116Open 29Played out 62Invalidated 11Expired 14
PublishedInstrumentCallBiasTimeframeOutcomeAdjudicated
19 Sept 2026BTCUSDBTCUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired22 Sept 2026
18 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired
23 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026EURUSDEURUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired22 Sept 2026
17 Sept 2026ETHUSDETHUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired20 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish1 dayExpired16 Sept 2026
15 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired18 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026XAUUSDXAUUSD: Conditional market observationView conditionsBullish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
10 Sept 2026USDJPYUSDJPY: Conditional market observationView conditionsBearish3 sessionsExpired15 Sept 2026
07 Sept 2026BTCUSDBitcoin slips off its 30-day high as operational and geopolitical headlines stack upView conditionsBearish1DExpired08 Sept 2026
31 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro holds above its 50-day average after a slightly cooler German CPI printView conditionsRange1-3 daysExpired03 Sept 2026
28 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold holding the upper shelf of its recent rangeView conditionsBullishintraday-swingExpired29 Aug 2026
24 Aug 2026EURUSDEuro parked near range top into German GDPView conditionsRangeintradayExpired24 Aug 2026
11 Aug 2026XAUUSDGold refuses to give back its breakoutView conditionsBullish1DExpired12 Aug 2026

Open — not yet adjudicated · Played out — what the piece described happened within its timeframe · Invalidated — the piece's own invalidation triggered · Expired — the timeframe ended with neither

Open totals include calls that have not been assessed or are awaiting evidence. Range observations and directional calls are different evidence, not measures of trading profit.

By type: 20 directional calls · 96 range observations.

Retrospective examples

These historical examples remain in the archive but are excluded from prospective summary counts.

  • Retrospective: USD/JPY's 163 shelf gives way
  • Retrospective: Nasdaq 100 clears its July shelf
  • Retrospective: Cable reclaims its July shelf

How the ledger works

Prospective calls stay on the record. Retrospective examples are shown separately and excluded from the summary.

Calls are assessed against their stated conditions. Calls without sufficient evidence are marked as not assessed.

Original audit entries are preserved. Explicit corrections keep the previous recorded outcome and their own date. Counts are not win rates.

Outcomes describe what already happened. They say nothing about the next call.

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